Why Tim Wanyonyi's Bungoma bid is shaking up Western politics

A quiet but potent political realignment is brewing in Bungoma County, as Westlands MP Tim Wanyonyi charts a path to challenge the region’s entrenched power brokers in the 2027 gubernatorial race.

But beneath the surface of his return to his rural roots lies a deeper political story- a battle not just for a seat, but for the soul and strategic direction of one of Western Kenya’s most influential counties.

Wanyonyi’s decision to shift his gubernatorial ambitions from Nairobi to Bungoma has disrupted an already crowded field, forcing the county’s political elites to recalibrate.

Until recently, the contest had been shaping up as a showdown between Kimilili MP Didmus Barasa, a loyalist of President William Ruto and self-styled political brawler, and former Governor Wycliffe Wangamati, who has been plotting a comeback.

But Wanyonyi’s pivot brings something markedly different to the race, a technocratic vision and developmental track record that directly challenges the traditional ethnic patronage and party-loyalty playbooks that have long defined Bungoma politics.

Wanyonyi, a long-serving Nairobi legislator, is betting that Bungoma’s voters are ready to prioritise delivery over dynasty, competence over combative rhetoric.

By distancing himself from party tags, including his own ODM roots and presenting himself as an independent-minded leader focused on “strategic leadership,” Wanyonyi is reframing the contest as a referendum on development, not tribal affiliation or party alignment.

“In this race, I am not running as an ODM candidate. I am here as Tim Wanyonyi,” he told a gathering of MPs and MCAs in Bungoma. “This is about results, not noise.”

That narrative stands in stark contrast to Barasa’s campaign style, which has so far leaned heavily on populist rallying and party-bloc politics. Barasa, sensing a threat to his momentum, has lashed out at Wanyonyi’s sudden entry, calling it “political suicide” and accusing local leaders backing him of being “opportunists interested in money.”

Barasa's sharp rhetoric reflects deeper anxieties about a contest no longer governed by predictable allegiances. His earlier advantage, rooted in Ford Kenya patronage and local campaign infrastructure, is now under pressure from a Wanyonyi's wave that seems to be quietly consolidating grassroots and elite backing alike.

While Wanyonyi insists his campaign is above party politics, his support has ironically come from within Ford Kenya, the same party led by his brother, National Assembly Speaker Moses Wetang’ula, and the same one Barasa hoped to join. That subtle but unmistakable twist suggests possible fault lines within the Wetang’ula-led political machine, which for years has dominated Bungoma’s power dynamics.

Barasa, originally elected on a UDA ticket, had been banking on Ford Kenya’s blessing to solidify his gubernatorial prospects. But with Wanyonyi now drawing endorsements from top Ford Kenya MPs, MCAs, and county officials, including the party's Secretary General John Chikati and Woman Rep Catherine Wambilianga, it remains to be seen if Wetang’ula is quietly shifting his allegiance toward his younger brother.

Officially, Wetang’ula has not weighed in, but the public embrace of Wanyonyi by nearly all 62 MCAs and several Ford Kenya stalwarts has caused a stir.

Wanyonyi’s technocratic pitch could resonate strongly in a county still struggling with underperforming agriculture, poor infrastructure, and youth unemployment despite being one of the region’s most resource-endowed devolved units.

“Bungoma can be a regional economic hub,” he declared. “We must move away from politics of chest-thumping to politics of substance.”

Webuye West MP Dan Wanyama echoed the sentiment, saying, “Let’s stop joking with Bungoma’s future. Tim Wanyonyi is the only one who can transform this county.”

Whether this framing will convince voters remains to be seen. But early signs point to a groundswell of support, especially among younger leaders and development-focused MCAs, who are weary of the recycled theatrics of past county regimes.

Still, Wanyonyi will face a formidable field, including businessman Allan Fwamba, DAP-K’s Zacharia Barasa, governance specialist Sophie Waliuala, and Wangamati, each with their own base and narrative.