Global airline passenger traffic expected to double in 20 years
World
By
AFP
| Jul 18, 2024
Airlines expect overall passenger numbers to double over the next two decades from the 4.3 billion who flew last year, with growth led by emerging markets such as Asia Pacific and the Middle East, the main global airline body said Thursday.
The projected surge in traffic could put further pressure on carriers to contribute to the fight against climate change and make progress towards a pledge to reach "net zero" carbon emissions by 2050.
Average annual passenger growth is expected to be 3.6 percent a year to 2043, compared with a forecast of 9.7 percent growth this year, the International Air Transport Association said in its latest update.
The Asia Pacific region would lead with average growth of 4.8 percent, propelled by countries like India (6.9 percent) and China (5.8 percent) but also Thailand and Vietnam (6.4 percent each), the IATA said.
Passenger growth in Africa and the Middle East would rise by 3.6 percent, while Latin American and the Caribbean would see a 2.9 percent increase.
READ MORE
Relegation battle intensify as NPCA Super League enters penultimate stage
Leaders Ngara B seek to tame Stray Leopards B as Division two title campaign heats up
CS Duale says pastoralists key to success of Kenya's climate action
DCI seize bhang worth Sh50,000, NYS uniforms in Lodwar
Kenya, Tanzania bet on new strategy to protect Mara ecosystem
Government clarifies labor agreement with Germany, dismisses claims of 250,000 jobs
Battle royale as Kipyegon leads chase for glory in Brussels continues this even
NPCA SUPER LEAGUE: Defending champions Ruaraka face acid test against leaders Kanbis
Bullish Harambee Stars coach says he is ready for Cameroon
Mali junta suspends French-language channel TV5 Monde for 3 months
The mature markets of North America and Europe would see growth of 1.7 percent and two percent, the association said.
Air transport currently accounts for less than three percent of global CO2 emissions, but is often in the firing line because it serves a minority of the world's population.
Airlines are mainly betting on increased production of sustainable aviation fuels produced from renewable sources, expected to provide 65 percent of the industry's "net zero" target for 2050.
But the technological challenges of producing such fuels at scale -- they currently provide just 0.53 percent of airlines' fuel consumption -- are likely to require huge investments.